11-03-2025 07:57 AM - edited 11-03-2025 07:58 AM
11-03-2025 08:06 AM
11-03-2025 06:38 PM - edited 11-03-2025 06:52 PM
With respect to business projections I find AI very unreliable. It cannot predict the level of tariffs or the De minimus amounts that may be in place next week let alone next year. This playing field can still change abruptly for the better or for the worse. for the worse there is the initiation of even higher costs due to the coming new additional promoted listing fees.
Considerations:
Had you consulted AI for your "GPT ESTIMATE of global markets GMV on eBay" in January 2020 (one month before COVID became public) would you have put your faith in it's prediction then? Had you done so you would have not seen the coming online seller's boom. With online selling gong through the roof by the end of Covid AI would have said "Who knew?"
Time, politics, platform resilience and market acceptance aren't yet predictable by AI. That said AI may be able to offer us a more reliable projection about next year's economy in general for Canada, the US and Mexico.
11-03-2025 07:12 PM
Not really anything new in the summary that we didn't know regarding .ca being run and supported out of the US.
11-04-2025 11:47 AM
11-04-2025 12:19 PM
Thanks for sharing this information without rancor and frustration. Much easier to digest the data. Your information did fill some gaps pertaining to my profiling of Ebay.com vis-a vis Ebay.ca
Will Ebay Canada survive. I think so as many Canadians as still invested and will continue to promote
interesting and positive solutions. Is anyone listening? Certainly.
Keep sharing!
11-04-2025 04:20 PM
@cottagewoman wrote:
Thanks guys for chiming in. I wanted to post this info so others who are shaking their fists at eBay to do things to improve the Canadian reality get an idea why that never happens quickly or as we want it. As well the question I asked was neutral and chatGPT did the hours of scouring legwork for me. It also was very clear in all the information it presented that it was giving estimates, not hard numbers.
Of course things can change rapidly, but one thing is clear, and that is relying on a US centric model will cause eBay harm if it considers it's international business as important. Looks like from the estimates that GMV is roughly 50% for global markets. That's nothing to sneeze at. Canada represents a very small portion, so we'll never get the love the UK, Europe and China do. But as things will inevitably change, the spending power of Canada could improve. The US is looking less interesting for all in global investment as things deteriorate, and Canada is in a position where we can grow. Who knows!
I suspect Canada is actually a little higher than the estimates since many people were listing on the USA site with location set to the USA, which is now changing. I wouldn't be surprised if it was around 4%, similar to Australia. Bringing in eIS will also make eBay more attractive for new businesses to use as well, especially as the list of countries grows.